PROJECT
THRESHOLD
STRATEGIC AI TABLETOP EXERCISE
An 8-hour exercise where senior leaders step into the shoes of industry decision-makers — navigating AI adoption across the US economy through four rounds of real trade-offs, escalating pressure, and cross-industry dynamics that no one sees coming.
Designed for C-suite executives and senior strategy leaders. No AI expertise required.
How It Works
Every round follows the same rhythm. Four times over eight hours, the stakes escalate and the picture gets clearer.
Scenario Update
The facilitator reads what's changed — new AI capabilities, market signals, regulatory shifts, labor dynamics. The landscape you planned for last round may not exist anymore.
Individual Decision
You analyze your industry's position, weigh the trade-offs, and commit to one strategic move. No safe choices. Every option means giving something up.
Scoring
The facilitator evaluates your decision on three dimensions: Strategic Fit, Execution Risk, and Tail Risk. Scores are transparent — you see exactly how your reasoning was assessed.
Cross-Industry Discussion
The centerpiece. The full group compares notes, and the spillovers emerge: your supply chain partner just automated. Your regulator just cracked down on a different industry. Your talent pool just got raided.
This cycle repeats four times across a simulated 48-month arc (2026–2030), with escalating complexity and accumulating consequences.
Foundation
Everyone's optimistic. Copilot tools are arriving across the enterprise. How much do you bet on early adoption — and what do you risk if you're wrong?
Acceleration
Early adopters are pulling ahead. Regulators are waking up. Talent wars are heating up. Do you double down or hedge?
Reckoning
Productivity gains plateau. Labor displacement is front-page news. The bets you placed in Rounds 1 and 2 are now constraints you have to live with.
Normalization
AI is infrastructure now. Markets are repricing. The question isn't whether to adopt — it's whether your position is defensible for the next decade.
Why Cross-Industry?
Most AI strategy happens in a silo. You plan for your industry, your competitive set, your regulatory environment. But AI adoption doesn't respect industry boundaries.
When a logistics provider automates their supply chain, the retailer's costs drop — but the manufacturer loses a key distribution partner. When a law firm deploys AI-assisted contract review, the consulting firm's advisory practice faces pricing pressure it didn't see coming. These are the dynamics that don't show up in a strategy deck.
Eleven Industries. One Economy.
Each participant represents a different industry. Your decisions are individual, but their consequences are shared.
Who It's For
C-Suite Executives
CEOs, COOs, CTOs, and CFOs making AI investment decisions with incomplete information and high stakes.
Senior Strategy Leaders
Heads of strategy, corporate development, and strategic planning directors setting direction for large organizations.
Investment Professionals
Portfolio managers, managing directors, and investment leaders evaluating AI-related risk and opportunity across industries.
No AI technical expertise required. You bring industry knowledge and strategic judgment — the exercise provides the AI context.
The complete exercise — all materials in a single printable PDF.