For Facilitators
Everything you need to prepare for and run the full 8-hour exercise. Start with the preparation checklist below — the rest is reference material organized by when you'll need it.
Preparation Checklist
Complete these before exercise day, in order. Plan for 2–3 hours of total preparation time.
Read the Lead Facilitator Briefing
20 minPre-exercise preparation, facilitator responsibilities, and what to expect from the day. This is your orientation document.
Read BriefingRead the Overview & Runbooks
45 minThe core facilitation guide. Round-by-round runbooks with exact timing, talking points, transition scripts, and contingency plans. This is the document you'll have open all day.
Read GuideStudy the Adjudication Rules & Scoring Baselines
30 minHow to evaluate participant decisions in real time. Scoring criteria, band definitions, red-flag triggers, and industry-specific calibration data. Practice scoring a few example decisions before the day.
Review the Participant Materials
30 minRead what participants see — the Exercise Overview, Rules of Play, and at least 2–3 industry packets. You need to understand the exercise from their perspective to facilitate effectively.
Participant Materials ↓Check Room Setup & Logistics
15 minPhysical and virtual setup requirements, material printing checklist, and day-of logistics. Confirm this 48 hours before the exercise.
Room SetupEverything below this point is reference material — organized by category so you can find what you need during the exercise itself.
Facilitator Guide — Reference
Core Documents
Overview & Runbooks
Complete facilitation guide with round-by-round runbooks, timing, and transition scripts.
Adjudication Rules
Scoring criteria, decision evaluation framework, and red-flag triggers.
Plausibility Decision Trees
Structured decision trees for evaluating whether participant decisions are realistic and internally consistent.
Scoring Baselines
Industry-specific baseline scores and calibration data for consistent adjudication across industries.
Quick Reference (for use during the exercise)
Round Materials
Each round document contains the scenario text, inject details, scoring guidance, discussion prompts, and timing notes specific to that round.
Round 1: Foundation
Participants make their first decisions with high optimism and low information. Key facilitation challenge: calibrating scoring for Round 1 when participants haven't found their rhythm yet.
Round 2: Acceleration
The Facilitator Market Shock is applied this round — you impose constraints on 2–3 industries. This is the highest-facilitation-intensity round. Review the constraint menu in advance.
Round 3: Reckoning
Stakes peak. Participants face consequences of prior decisions. Key facilitation challenge: managing participants who feel “stuck” by earlier commitments. The Fallback Bank is most useful here.
Round 4: Normalization
No private cards this round — full transparency. Discussion shifts from tactics to positioning. Key facilitation challenge: keeping energy high in the final round before the debrief.
Cross-Round Integration
Thread continuity across all four rounds — narrative arc, scoring trend analysis, and how to connect early decisions to later consequences in the debrief.
Supporting Materials
Pre-exercise logistics, post-exercise deliverables, and optional customization tools.
Lead Facilitator Briefing
Read first. Pre-exercise preparation, facilitator responsibilities, and day-of expectations.
Room Setup & Logistics
Physical and virtual setup requirements, material printing checklist, and technology needs. Confirm 48 hours before the exercise.
Post-Exercise Synthesis
Template for capturing insights, cross-industry patterns, and recommendations after the exercise. Complete within 48 hours while observations are fresh.
Diagnostic Survey
Pre- and post-exercise survey instruments for measuring learning outcomes and participant engagement.
Alternative Scenarios
Scenario overrides for customized exercise configurations — different macro assumptions, accelerated timelines, or sector-specific focus.
Historical Reference Data
Historical market data and financial benchmarks for all 11 industries, 2015–2025.
Participant Materials
Review what participants see before the exercise. Understanding their perspective — their constraints, information gaps, and decision framing — is essential for effective facilitation.
Exercise Overview
High-level exercise structure and objectives
Industry Packets
All 11 industry-specific participant packets
Adoption Arcs
Distributed to participants each round — round-by-round AI adoption progressions per industry
Private Cards
Distributed in Rounds 1–3 — confidential intelligence cards for each industry
Rules of Play
Comprehensive participant rules and mechanics
Decision Worksheet
Printable worksheet for recording round decisions